Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.111331 1.261484 1.425183 1.617019 1.835833 2.077835 2.366049
2026-01-04 0.858065 1.056529 1.291670 1.591347 1.963937 2.413009 2.996983
2026-01-11 0.741614 0.966064 1.247809 1.628561 2.131491 2.775593 3.667172
2026-01-18 0.648975 0.884811 1.195043 1.634793 2.245116 3.066677 4.264022
2026-01-25 0.568912 0.806509 1.131860 1.612383 2.308402 3.286624 4.777623
2026-02-01 0.500383 0.734249 1.066078 1.574383 2.339197 3.456348 5.228903
2026-02-08 0.443469 0.671349 1.005260 1.533990 2.357583 3.603674 5.654927
2026-02-15 0.409316 0.638018 0.983402 1.547617 2.455669 3.875997 6.297074
2026-02-22 0.375154 0.600761 0.951112 1.540219 2.517545 4.094292 6.870991
2026-03-01 0.342742 0.562831 0.913627 1.519640 2.554006 4.272002 7.391670
2026-03-08 0.306678 0.515424 0.856233 1.459899 2.517784 4.322935 7.695843
2026-03-15 0.285045 0.490038 0.832679 1.454637 2.573144 4.533098 8.299818
2026-03-22 0.270426 0.477817 0.834469 1.501396 2.739109 4.979274 9.435200
2026-03-29 0.245231 0.445001 0.798198 1.478116 2.779388 5.210521 10.212713
2026-04-05 0.231503 0.431197 0.793984 1.512573 2.930198 5.662992 11.477407
2026-04-12 0.215418 0.411182 0.776019 1.518344 3.025295 6.017604 12.589605
2026-04-19 0.197838 0.386412 0.746384 1.497591 3.064333 6.263788 13.505690
2026-04-26 0.180539 0.360390 0.711611 1.462397 3.069050 6.438875 14.289318
2026-05-03 0.164861 0.336028 0.677653 1.424984 3.064282 6.592247 15.042932
2026-05-10 0.155786 0.324261 0.667977 1.437606 3.168548 6.992151 16.413310
2026-05-17 0.145687 0.309341 0.650259 1.430754 3.228494 7.299849 17.606516
2026-05-24 0.135432 0.293093 0.628145 1.411692 3.258240 7.541520 18.670995
2026-05-31 0.123113 0.271180 0.591733 1.356353 3.197146 7.563646 19.189421